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The tuberculosis diagnostics test market size was valued at $2.3 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to register a CAGR of over 5.5% between 2024 and 2032
There are nearly 2 billion people that still needs to be tested that might have been infected by TB bacteria globally
Rapid diagnosis is one key pillar to end tuberculosis (TB). Point-of-care tests (POCTs) facilitate early detection, immediate treatment, and reduced transmission of TB disease.
The goals to reduce tuberculosis (TB) incidence and TB mortality, will not be achieved without new tools to fight TB. These include improved point-of-care (POC) diagnostic tests that are meant to be delivered at the most decentralised levels of care where the patients make the initial contact with the health system, as well as within the community especially in emerging countries. These tests should be able to be performed on an easily accessible sample and provide results in a timely manner, allowing a quick treatment turnaround time of a few minutes or hours (in a single clinical encounter), hence avoiding patient loss-to-follow-up.
Defining Your Target Market
There is an urgent need for the early detection of TB through point-of-care tests (POCTs). The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends that screening is carried out systematically in people who are at the highest risk of getting TB, as early detection and start of treatment can improve their outcomes and prevent them from sustaining catastrophic costs. People may not fully appreciate their risk of TB and treatment programmes that rely completely on people presenting for TB care when they feel sick will miss many opportunities to treat people earlier in their disease. In this way screening can help promote health, and help people bypass many of the barriers that they face in accessing health care.
WHO strongly recommends screening the following populations for TB: (mentioned in the report)
According to the Global Tuberculosis Report released by WHO in 2024, tuberculosis (TB) is a preventable and usually curable disease. Yet in 2023, TB probably returned to being the world’s leading cause of death from a single infectious agent, following 3 years in which it was replaced by coronavirus disease (COVID-19), and caused almost twice as many deaths as HIV/AIDS. More than 10 million people continue to fall ill with TB every year and the number has been rising since 2021. Urgent action is required to end the global TB epidemic by 2030, a goal that has been adopted by all Member States of the United Nations (UN) and the World Health Organization (WHO).
Before we deep dive into the total addressable market analysis including serviceable available market and serviceable obtainable market of these products and services, we will first look at the current market trends and the actual market size of the related broader market.
(What you see below is just part of the analysis and some figures here were purposely hidden, this analysis can be purchased at a very reasonable price, you can see the checkout button at the end of this article)
Market Size And Trends Overview Of The Related Market
Current and Projected Market Size of the Tuberculosis Diagnostics Test
The tuberculosis diagnostics test market size was valued at $ billion in 2023 and is anticipated to register a CAGR of over % between 2024 and 2032. Tuberculosis diagnostics tests are medical procedures and analyses employed in the detection and diagnosis of tuberculosis (TB, a bacterial infection caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis. These tests are crucial for identifying individuals with active TB disease or latent TB infection, enabling prompt treatment and prevention efforts. The rising prevalence of TB significantly fuels the market.
There were around _ million new TB cases as per WHO latest figure– affecting _ million men, _ million women, and _ million children, highlighting its global prevalence across all demographics. Thus, as the incidence of TB increases globally, there is a higher demand for early detection and effective treatment, prompting healthcare providers and diagnostic companies to innovate and adopt advanced technologies, stimulating market growth.
[Year-by-year market size of the tuberculosis diagnostics test industry globally]
2023: $ billion
2024: $ billion
2025: $ billion
…
2032: $ billion
Accordingly, the adoption of Point-of-Care Testing (POCT) , which involves conducting diagnostic tests at or near the patient’s location, is a key driver due to its rapid results and ability to facilitate immediate treatment initiation. Particularly crucial for tuberculosis, where early detection is paramount, POCT proves invaluable in regions with limited access to centralized laboratories.
As per the report, the POCT has a market share of about % from the overall TB diagnostics test market.
[Year-by-year market size of the POCT tuberculosis diagnostics test industry globally]
2025: $ billion
…
2030: $ billion
2031: $ billion
2032: $ billion
Total Addressable Market (TAM) and its potential revenue
TAM, or Total Addressable Market is the total market demand for a product or service. In this research, the target audience for the TAM are the total population who may need to be tested with tuberculosis. The scope is global.
TAM target audience statistics: (data and statistics are provided in the report)
Total number of people who might have been infected with TB globally
= xx billion
Number of people that still needs to be tested that might have been infected by TB bacteria
= xx billion
Summary of TAM users
| Target market (TAM) | Total number |
| Total number of people who might have been infected with TB globally that might need to be tested for TB bacteria | xx billion |
The TAM value of a company depends on the company’s business model and pricing. This research will use benchmark pricing to estimate the potential revenues.
TAM value assuming 100% penetration of the TAM target market
= $ billion
Serviceable Available Market (SAM) and its potential revenue
While we have determined the overall TAM, we will also look into the serviceable available market. The calculated TAM is the potential overall figure at maximum target market penetration, but we will consider those potential users in countries that have high occurrences of tuberculosis.
SAM target audience statistics: (all statistics and data are provided in the report)
| Top high risk countries | Per year TB infection | Assumed cumulative incidence within 5 years |
| India | ||
| Indonesia | ||
| China | ||
| Philippines | ||
| Pakistan | ||
| Nigeria | ||
| Bangladesh | ||
| Democratic Republic of the Congo | ||
| TOTAL |
Summary of SAM users
| Target market (SAM) | Total number |
| Total number of people who might have been infected with TB in top high risk countries that might need to be tested for TB bacteria for the next 5 years | xx million |
Using the same average cost as above, the SAM value will be as per below.
SAM value from the specified percentage of the total target market
= $ million
Serviceable Obtainable Market (SOM) and its potential revenue
The serviceable obtainable market that will be considered here are the number of users that are achievable. We will consider here the number of the population who are actually considering rapid testing in order to check possible TB infection especially in the top high risk countries.
SOM target market statistics: (all provided in the report)
Summary of SAM users
| Target market (SAM) | Total number |
| Total number of people who might have been infected with TB in top high risk countries that might need undergo rapid testing | xx million |
Using the same average revenue as above, SOM value will be as per below.
SOM value at full penetration (or 100% market share) of the SOM target users
= $ million
During a company’s growth journey, we will consider the following market shares;
- Initial entry: can capture 1% of the SOM target users
- Established position: can capture 2% of the SOM target users
- Growth target: can capture 5% of the SOM target users
TAM, SAM and SOM Summary
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